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GitHub Octoverse 2026: AI agents now start 40% of pull requests. What it means for data teams

In March, agents opened 17% of pull requests on GitHub. By September it was over 40%. The year's biggest developer report, in numbers, and what it means if your team keeps SQL, dbt or Python in Git.

What's new7 min readUpdated 3 November 2026
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Every year GitHub publishes Octoverse, a report on what happened across the platform. The 2026 edition, published on 28 October and covering the 12 months to 30 September, has one headline: AI agents have become ordinary teammates. They now open a large share of the code changes on GitHub, and code review has become the place where people and agents meet. If your analytics team keeps dbt models, SQL or Python in Git, this is your future too.

40Percent of PRs started by agentsSeptember 2026
34.3Billion commitsin 12 months
225Million developerson GitHub
3.5Million merged PRs a dayon average

The numbers

Share of pull requests started by an AI agent
March 202617%
September 2026over 40%

Source: GitHub Octoverse 2026. GitHub reports a sharp acceleration around June, linked to stronger models, better orchestration tools and agents that run in the cloud for days.

Activity, 12 months to September 2026Total
Pushes17.9 billion, more than 2024 and 2025 combined
Commits34.3 billion
Merged pull requests1.3 billion
GitHub Actions jobs45.4 billion, about 1,440 a second
Merged Dependabot pull requestsMore than 30 million, about double 2025
Public contributions2.5 billion, more than double last year

One finding is easy to misread. New repositories that include an agent configuration file, such as an AGENTS.md that tells coding agents how the project works, averaged eight times as many commits as those without one. GitHub itself calls this a correlation, not proof: busy projects may simply be more likely to set agents up.

What it means for data teams

Analytics engineering already runs on pull requests: a dbt model change, a new test, a fix to a Power Query script. Agents such as Claude Code, Codex, Copilot, Genie Code on Databricks and CoCo on Snowflake can now open those pull requests for you. Snowflake even announced a CoCo GitHub integration at Expedition 2026 so that agent changes go through normal review.

  1. 1

    Write an agent guide for your repo

    Add a short AGENTS.md: how to run tests, naming rules, which folders are off limits, and how to describe changes.

  2. 2

    Make tests the gate

    Agents should not merge anything that has not passed dbt tests or unit tests. Our guide to data quality tests shows where to start.

  3. 3

    Keep pull requests small

    Ask agents for one model or one fix per pull request. Small changes are reviewed properly; big ones are rubber-stamped.

  4. 4

    Review data, not just code

    Check row counts, nulls and key metrics before and after, not only the SQL diff.

  5. 5

    Protect secrets and production

    Agents should work on a branch with development credentials, never on production data directly.

Where agents help most

Low risk
  • Adding tests and documentation to existing models
  • Fixing lint errors and small bugs
  • Upgrading packages, which Dependabot already does at scale

Good first jobs for a coding agent.

Where people stay essential

High risk
  • Changing metric definitions everyone relies on
  • Anything touching personal or financial data
  • Deleting or rewriting history in production tables

Keep a person in charge of these decisions.

Check your understanding

1/3What share of GitHub pull requests did agents start in September 2026?

2/3What does an agent configuration file such as AGENTS.md do?

3/3According to Octoverse, where do people and agents now meet?

Read next: a security checklist for AI agents that touch your data, long-running AI agents, data quality tests and the Git cheat sheet.

Sources: GitHub Octoverse 2026 (28 October 2026), as summarised by ToolNavs and Visual Studio Magazine (29 October 2026); Snowflake Expedition 2026 announcements (3 November 2026). Figures cover the 12 months to 30 September 2026.

Alessandro Ecclesie AgazziWritten by Alessandro Ecclesie Agazzi, analytics engineer in London. Updated 3 November 2026. About me

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